Nifty50 Daily Technical Analysis for Monday, 17 November 2025
A Practical, Real-World Trading Approach for Serious Market Participants
The Nifty50 closed at 25,910 on Friday, adding another mild but meaningful gain to its ongoing structure. While the index didn’t display a runaway rally, the chart clearly shows a market that is quietly preparing for its next decisive move. For traders, this is the kind of environment where discipline matters more than prediction. Let’s break down the technicals, understand the market psychology behind these moves, and build a trading plan that real traders can execute with confidence.
1. Understanding the Chart Structure: Why Nifty Is Not Weak Yet
When you look at the daily chart, the first thing that stands out is the series of higher lows that Nifty has been forming over the past few weeks. These lows are sitting comfortably above the rising:
- 20 EMA (≈ 25,670)
- 50 EMA (≈ 25,410)
- 100 EMA (≈ 25,129)
This is not a chart of a market that is struggling. It is a chart of a market that is consolidating after a good run, giving traders the opportunity to position themselves for the next leg.
The 25,580–25,600 zone has acted as a dependable support multiple times, showing the presence of long-term buyers.
On the upper side, the 25,975–26,020 zone has been a stiff resistance where sellers repeatedly pushed prices down.
This creates a classic compressed range, a sign that traders should prepare for a breakout or breakdown.
2. What the Candles Are Telling Us
The recent candles show:
- Wicks on the bottom, showing buying interest on dips
- Controlled body size, showing a lack of panic and a balanced tug-of-war
- No heavy distribution bars, which means smart money is not unloading positions
Together, they hint that the market is building energy, not losing strength.
3. Practical Trading Zones for Monday
This analysis is not theory. It is designed for traders who will place actual orders on Monday morning. So, instead of generic levels, here are action zones with explanations that help you understand why the trade works.
A. BUY Strategy – The Preferred Setup
Trigger Level: Buy above 25,960
The moment Nifty crosses 25,960, it breaks the mini-supply pressure that has capped it for days. A breakout above this level is meaningful because:
- It clears the minor resistance shelf
- It signals increasing confidence among buyers
- It leaves room for 60–120 points of clean upward movement
Targets:
- T1: 26,050
- T2: 26,120
- T3: 26,240 (only if momentum expands)
Stop-Loss:
25,860 (below the last intraday swing and pre-breakout cluster)
Practical Execution Tip:
If the market opens with a gap-up above 25,960, do not chase immediately.
Wait for a 5-minute or 15-minute candle to retest the breakout zone.
Real traders get better entries by waiting for pullbacks, not by reacting emotionally.
B. SELL Strategy – Only If the Market Shows Weakness
This is a defensive trade, not the first preference.
Trigger Level: Sell below 25,580
This zone has been a base for many sessions. A breakdown here signals that:
- Buyers are abandoning the support
- Short-term swing structure is broken
- Index may accelerate downward
Targets:
- T1: 25,450
- T2: 25,300
- T3: 25,150 (near the 100 EMA)
Stop-Loss:
25,700
Practical Execution Tip:
If the breakdown happens suddenly with a wide red candle, it’s safer to enter on a small bounce toward 25,600 rather than shorting at the bottom of the candle.
This reduces fear-based entries and increases risk–reward quality.
4. Real-World Trading Guidance for Monday
These are the nuances that experienced traders use but beginners often ignore:
✔ Avoid taking trades inside 25,580–25,960
This is a congestion zone with erratic movement and poor reward potential.
✔ Always confirm with volume on breakout levels
A breakout without volume is like a car moving uphill without fuel.
✔ Don’t overreact to the opening tick
Monday openings are often influenced by weekend global news.
The real direction usually emerges between 9:20–9:35 AM.
✔ Watch Bank Nifty closely
A weak Bank Nifty can invalidate even the strongest Nifty setup.
✔ Position sizing is more important than prediction
Never risk more than 0.5–1% of your capital per trade.
5. Final Outlook for Monday
The Nifty50 still carries a bullish undertone, supported by rising EMAs and steady volumes.
The market is not weak—it’s simply waiting for a trigger.
Market Bias:
Mildly bullish with a breakout possibility.
Preferred Strategy:
Buy above 25,960 with a disciplined stop-loss.
If support breaks, only then shift your stance toward the short side.
Disclaimer
The views and analysis provided above are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial or investment advice. Trading and investing in the stock market involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
***********
|| ॐ नमः शिवाय ||