Nifty 50 Outlook for Monday: Buy or Sell?

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Nifty 50 Daily Technical Analysis – Monday, 10th November 2025

The Nifty 50 index ended the last session slightly weak, closing at 25,492, down by around 17 points (-0.07%). The index has been in a cooling-off phase after its recent rally toward the 26,000 mark, which saw traders booking profits at higher levels. The broader structure remains bullish, but short-term caution is visible as prices test crucial moving averages.

Let’s break this down technically and strategically.


1. Market Structure and Trend Outlook

Nifty’s daily chart clearly shows that after a strong up-move in October, the index is now undergoing a healthy consolidation phase. The pullback is part of a natural market rhythm — a necessary pause before a potential next leg up or a possible trend reversal.

The 20-day EMA around 25,589 is acting as a short-term resistance, while the 50-day EMA near 25,328 is offering solid support. The 200-day EMA (at 24,651) remains far below, reflecting that the long-term uptrend is still intact.

The candlestick pattern of the last few sessions forms a series of lower highs and lower lows, which typically signals near-term pressure but doesn’t yet confirm a breakdown. So, traders should see this phase not as a panic zone, but as an opportunity to realign with the trend using a disciplined approach.


2. Momentum and Indicators

  • RSI (14): The RSI stands around 49, indicating neutral momentum — neither overbought nor oversold. This is a typical setup before the market decides its next direction.
  • Volume: Declining volume on down days suggests that this correction is not driven by aggressive institutional selling; rather, it’s more of a profit-booking and positional adjustment.

When both RSI and volume behave this way, traders should prepare for range-bound movement and avoid over-leveraging positions in either direction.


3. Support and Resistance Zones

ZoneLevelImportance
Immediate Resistance25,600 – 25,65020 EMA area – short-term selling pressure visible
Crucial Support25,30050 EMA zone – strong base for the current structure
Major Support24,950 – 25,000Psychological mark and prior swing zone
Upside Target (if breakout)25,900 – 26,000Reversal of bullish momentum if sustained above 20 EMA

4. Practical Trade Strategy for Monday

📈 If You Are a Bullish Trader:

The key lies in waiting for strength confirmation rather than anticipating it. The market needs to sustain above 25,550 – 25,600 for a genuine bullish reversal.

Trade Setup:

  • Entry: Above 25,600 (only if it holds for 30 minutes after opening)
  • Targets:
    • Target 1: 25,750
    • Target 2: 25,900
  • Stop Loss: 25,400 (on closing basis)

Rationale:
Crossing above the 20-day EMA would mean the bulls are reclaiming short-term control. This could invite follow-up buying from swing traders and short-covering by intraday bears.

Pro Tip: Traders can also look at leading sectors like banking, IT, and energy for confirmation. If Bank Nifty also trades strong, it will add conviction to long trades in Nifty futures or call options.


📉 If You Are a Bearish Trader:

The defensive move is to wait for a breakdown below 25,300. This would indicate that the 50-day EMA support has been breached, and the market could head lower to fill the nearby gaps.

Trade Setup:

  • Entry: Below 25,300
  • Targets:
    • Target 1: 25,100
    • Target 2: 24,900
  • Stop Loss: 25,480

Rationale:
A close below 25,300 would trigger fresh short build-ups, especially from institutions looking to hedge long positions. The move could be quick, so avoid chasing it late — trade it with pre-planned risk.

Pro Tip: Traders may choose to buy 25,200 or 25,000 puts for positional plays if the breakdown sustains on strong volume.


5. Real Trader’s Mindset: How to Approach Monday

The current phase of the market is not about blind aggression but patience and timing.
The price is stuck between two strong EMAs, and that’s where most traders lose money by predicting instead of reacting.

Here’s how a smart trader should think:

  • Avoid early entries: Wait for price confirmation above 25,600 or below 25,300.
  • Respect stop losses: This week’s volatility can trap both sides; cutting losses early is key.
  • Keep position sizing small: Until a clear breakout or breakdown occurs, risk only a portion of your capital.
  • Watch for cues from global markets: U.S. indices and crude oil movements are influencing short-term sentiment in Indian equities.

6. Educational Takeaway

This chart perfectly reflects a common real-world trading lesson:

“When markets go silent after a big rally, they’re often preparing for their next loud move.”

The silence doesn’t mean directionless — it means energy is building up. As a trader, your job is to align with the breakout, not to fight it.

Patience at such points often rewards traders far better than chasing small intraday movements.


Conclusion

For Monday, Nifty 50 is in a decisive zone — a few points below resistance and a few above support.
The broader trend remains bullish, but short-term caution is advised.
A sustained move above 25,600 could revive momentum toward 25,900, while a break below 25,300 could drag it to 24,900.

Stay flexible, manage your risk, and remember — discipline outperforms prediction every single time.


Summary Table

Market ViewEntry LevelTargetStop LossTrader TypeComment
BullishAbove 25,60025,750 / 25,90025,400Swing / IntradayAbove 20 EMA breakout
BearishBelow 25,30025,100 / 24,90025,480Swing / PositionalBelow 50 EMA breakdown

Final Note

For readers and traders who want daily Nifty and Bank Nifty analysis, practical trade setups, and strategy-based learning, follow Markshala.com — your hub for market insights, global trends, and investing wisdom.


Disclaimer

The views and analysis provided above are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial or investment advice. Trading and investing in the stock market involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results.

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