Bitcoin Weekly Techno-Fundamental Analysis (2025): Is BTC Preparing for a New Rally?
Bitcoin has entered a crucial phase on the weekly chart, showing a powerful rebound from its long-term support zone. As BTC hovers above the $90,000 mark, traders and investors are asking the same question: Is Bitcoin gearing up for its next major rally, or is this just a relief bounce?
In this SEO-friendly, detailed, and practical analysis, we break down Bitcoin’s weekly structure, momentum indicators, macro fundamentals, and provide actionable trade and investment strategies for the coming weeks.
## 1. Bitcoin Weekly Chart Analysis: Understanding the Current Structure
The weekly Bitcoin chart reveals a classic bull-market correction. After topping out near $120,000–$123,000, BTC corrected into a strong multi-month support zone and bounced.
Key Observations from the Weekly Chart
- Strong buying interest near $78,000–$80,000, where long-term EMAs converge
- A bullish candle with a long lower wick, signalling aggressive dip buying
- RSI cooling without breaking the bullish structure, creating room for the next uptrend
This structure confirms that Bitcoin remains in its broader bull cycle, and the correction has strengthened the trend rather than weakened it.
## 2. Technical Levels to Watch (Support & Resistance)
Major Support Zones
- $78,000 – $80,000: Primary weekly demand zone
- $85,000: Short-term support
- $72,000: Long-term structural support
Key Resistance Zones
- $97,000: First supply zone
- $103,500: Weekly resistance and psychological barrier
- $118,000 – $123,000: Major resistance and previous top
Price is currently consolidating between $90,000 and $104,000, and a breakout of this range will set the tone for the next weekly trend.
## 3. Bitcoin Momentum & Indicators: What They Signal
RSI (Weekly)
- Cooled from 85 to around 55–60
- Indicates healthy consolidation, not exhaustion
Moving Averages
- BTC remains above the 50, 100, and 200 EMAs
- Long-term trend firmly intact
- Pullback respected the 50-week EMA, a strong bullish confirmation
Candlestick Strength
The bullish recovery candle shows an excellent rejection of lower prices, proving demand is still strong among whales and institutions.
## 4. Fundamental Factors Supporting Bitcoin’s Outlook (2025)
Even beyond the charts, Bitcoin fundamentals remain aligned with a long-term bullish trajectory.
✔ Post-Halving Accumulation Phase
Historically, Bitcoin enters its strongest performance window 6–18 months after halving. We are entering that window right now.
✔ Institutional Accumulation via ETFs
Global Bitcoin ETFs continue to show consistent inflows. Institutional demand has become a permanent driver of BTC price.
✔ Global Liquidity Expectations
With potential rate cuts in 2025 and a softening US Dollar Index (DXY), risk assets like Bitcoin could see renewed capital inflow.
Together, these elements make Bitcoin fundamentally strong despite short-term volatility.
## 5. Practical Trade Strategies for the Coming Week
This section provides real, actionable trading plans based on the current weekly chart.
### A) Short-Term Swing Trading Strategy (1–3 Weeks)
- Buy Zone: $89,000 – $92,000
- Stop Loss: $86,500
- Target 1: $97,000
- Target 2: $103,500
- Target 3: $108,000
Why This Works:
Bitcoin has reclaimed its immediate demand zone and shows strong buyer participation. Swing traders can ride the recovery as long as price remains above $89,000.
### B) Positional Trading Strategy (1–6 Months)
For medium-term investors:
- Accumulation Zone: $78,000 – $85,000
- Positional Stop Loss: Weekly close below $72,000
- Medium-Term Targets:
- $135,000
- $155,000
- $180,000+ (cycle top potential)
Practical Approach:
Use staggered buying (“laddering”) rather than lump-sum investing. Add positions only during dips or weekly trend confirmation.
### C) Defensive Strategy (If Trend Weakens)
If Bitcoin closes below $78,000 on a weekly basis:
- Sell (Short): Below $78,000
- Stop Loss: $82,000
- Targets: $72,500 and $64,000
This scenario is lower probability but essential for risk management.
## 6. Learning for Readers: What This Chart Teaches You
1. Long wicks mean strong demand. Never panic sell.
2. Weekly indicators > Daily indicators in high-volatility assets.
3. Corrections inside a bull market are buying opportunities.
4. Always define your stop loss before entering the trade.
This understanding helps traders avoid emotional mistakes and follow a structured approach.
## 7. Final Outlook: Is Bitcoin Ready for the Next Breakout?
Bitcoin is stabilizing above the key $90,000 level, signaling that the worst of the correction may already be over. As long as BTC holds above $78,000, the macro bull market remains firmly intact.
A weekly close above $103,500 can open doors toward the next major move to $120,000+, while dips into the $85,000–$90,000 range will likely be bought aggressively.
Conclusion
Bitcoin continues to show strength both technically and fundamentally. Traders should focus on well-defined entries above support zones, while long-term investors can use this consolidation to accumulate strategically. With global fundamentals supportive and technical structure intact, Bitcoin appears poised for another major move in the coming months.
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Disclaimer
The views and analysis provided above are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial or investment advice. Trading and investing in the stock market involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
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